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Indications that China is considering the US request for trade talks have bolstered risk-appetites today, ahead of the US jobs report and dragged the greenback lower.
This morning's inflation release suggests it's business as usual in the eurozone for the time being. The medium-term outlook, however, is more complicated.
Eyes will be on the OPEC meeting May 5th where it's rumoured Saudi will push for more production increases, (by 400,000 bbl pd) as the USA saw it's first contraction in economic growth in three years.
A discussion about how recent earnings, market reactions, and macro headlines are creating a short-term bullish environment—but one that remains fragile beneath the surface.
Given the reasons to think 5,650 represents strong resistance as well as the less than overwhelming earnings from AAPL and AMZN after the close, I’d expect the market to correct Friday.
We are in the midst of another momentum-fueled rally. Investors have been plowing back into risk assets with a vengeance, leading to an enormous bounce off the recent lows.
In the report for April, the headline number declined -0.3 to 48.7, the second month of contraction, while new orders rose +2.0 to 47.2, indicating slower contraction.
Inflation will be higher than it would otherwise be, because of tariffs, but lower than many people think because people greatly exaggerate the effect of tariffs.
Britain's main stock index remained relatively steady on Thursday as investors weighed various corporate earnings, a U.S.-Ukraine minerals agreement, and the potential for a trade deal with China.
Fresh off monthly losses, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite Index are both up over 400 points this afternoon, while the S&P 500 Index sits firmly higher as well.
Oil demand expectations have decreased, influenced by OPEC’s potential production increase and slowing demand. U.S. oil producers saw prices close above $58 a barrel yesterday, a critical marker.
Microsoft continues to remain committed to its AI initiatives and announced that it will invest $80 billion on the initiative in this fiscal year alone.
While Spain, Portugal and Italy are pulling out of their massive public deficits — Italy's public deficit has been cut from 8% of GDP in 2022 to 3.4% in 2024 — France continues to sink and is now Europe's sick man.
WTI crude oil prices fell by 3.7% to $58.20 a barrel on Wednesday, posting their steepest monthly drop since the end of 2021, down 18% amid growing concerns about a global supply glut and weakening demand.
5,500 is a significant technical level for a number of reasons, one of which is that it represents a 50% retracement of all of the losses since the Feb 19 high.
